Comments on: Let’s not count our chickens, though

By: Marlowe

Marlowe — Sun, 08 Feb 2015 11:05:59 +0000

In reply to Marlowe. How so? 44.7% is a majority relative to 35.7%, 14.3% and 5.3%. The second part of the sentence could have used a different punctuation mark like a hyphen or semicolon, but the odd phrasing of the referendum question doesn't help very much either.

By: bob-a-job

bob-a-job — Sun, 08 Feb 2015 10:36:39 +0000

In reply to Marlowe.

‘The relative majority 44.7% said that they would vote NO, for spring hunting to be banned.’

This is not very clear, is it?

By: Nighthawk

Nighthawk — Sun, 08 Feb 2015 08:42:22 +0000

The notes released with the survey say that they had to call 1600 people to get 300 answers.

Anyone know if that is normal?

If people voting No are more likely to accept to be interviewed then this survey could be seriously skewed.

By: Salvu

Salvu — Sat, 07 Feb 2015 23:08:21 +0000

In reply to Salvu.

Xarabank survey –

Whole sample: 35.7% Yes, 44.7% No, 19.6% Und/NV
PL voters: 55.3% Yes, 30.9% No, 13.8% Und/NV
PN voters: 16.4% Yes, 78.2% No, 5.4% Und/NV

These percentages can only make sense if there is a substantial portion of the sample (at least one fifth) who did not declare their voting.

It is absolutely not possible to deduce the percentage of PL and PN voters from the information given.

By: Salvu

Salvu — Sat, 07 Feb 2015 22:20:39 +0000

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9uWgfoT2Yl5WjFTMzNxNnlGUE0/view?pli=1

This is the full Xarabank survey.

By: Big Daddy

Big Daddy — Sat, 07 Feb 2015 21:53:09 +0000

I caught the last few seconds of Saviour’s rant on Xarabank last night. He sounded hysterical and paranoid. He’s definitely not doing the ‘No’ camp any favours (but we knew that all along).

By: Marlowe

Marlowe — Sat, 07 Feb 2015 21:43:08 +0000

In reply to Andrew Borg-Cardona.

It’s a survey by Maltapolls. You can examine the methodology yourself here:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9uWgfoT2Yl5WjFTMzNxNnlGUE0/view?usp=sharing

Appears to be rigorous.

By: Steve

Steve — Sat, 07 Feb 2015 21:28:07 +0000

So all the hunters need to do is not vote at all. That’s their best option, and one I’m sure they’re contemplating.

By: Natalie

Natalie — Sat, 07 Feb 2015 21:19:30 +0000

That’s why Joseph Muscat kept insisting that he’s the underdog during the last election campaign. People need to believe that their side is losing to take the effort and vote on election day.

By: Matthew S

Matthew S — Sat, 07 Feb 2015 19:40:04 +0000

Is the survey scientific?

Malta Today (which are usually quote accurate with surveys) had some very different numbers just a few days ago.

There could have been a shift, of course, but such a large shift in such a short time sounds unrealistic.

http://daphnecaruanagalizia.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/survey.jpg