Election to be announced on Monday – depending on the poll results

The Prime Minister will announce the general election either at the Labour Party’s May Day meeting on Monday – if he fails to distinguish between his roles as party leader and prime minister – or at a press conference at the Auberge de Castille on Tuesday.

But it all depends on the results of an opinion poll carried out for the Labour Party between Friday and Sunday, which should be on his desk today. If the results of that poll favour Labour, he will call the election. If they don’t, he will put it off.

If it is called next week, the general election will be held in early June, and it will be the first time a European Union member state has held a general election while holding the European Council presidency – and also the first time a prime minister has called a general election to keep himself and his key collaborators safe from investigation and prosecution.